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Win
Risk Free Home
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Win
Risk Free - Arbitrage Software Manual
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How To Bet On Sports: |
Sports wagering is fairly simple. You are
always risking some amount of money in hopes of winning
another amount of money.
There are three components to each bet:
1)What must occur for you to win your wager.
2)What amount of money you lose if the bet is lost
3)What amount of money you win if the bet is won
Understanding Money Lines:
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A Money Line describes both
the amount of money you stand to win and the
amount you stand to lose. Money Lines are
always either a positive or negative number.
A positive means that you can risk 100 to
win that amount and a negative means that
you can risk that amount to win 100.
Example: +125
This means that you are risking being down
$100 if you lose your bet and you will be
up $125 if you win your bet. Or you could
risk $200 to win $250, or risk $50 to win
$62.50, etc...
Example: -145
This means that you are risking being down
$145 if you lose your bet and you will be
up $100 if you win your bet.
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| When browsing lines, you may see
something like this: |
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MLB - ATLANTA: S REYNOLDS
AT OAKLAND: ZITO
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Outcome
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Runs
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Money Line
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ATLANTA: S REYNOLDS
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+155
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OAKLAND: ZITO
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-170
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OVER 8.5
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-130
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UNDER 8.5
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+110
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ATLANTA: S REYNOLDS
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+1.5
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-120
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OAKLAND: ZITO
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-1.5
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+100
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Each row represents
an available wager. The first and second column
describe what must take place for the wager
to win and the third column describes how much
you stand to lose and win on the bet (the money
line).
Row 1) Atlanta must win the game and
S Reynolds must be the starting pitcher. If
S Reynolds does not start then you do not win
or lose anything, the bet is called off as No
Action.
The Money Line is +155
You can risk $100 to win $155, which means if
you put up $100 on this bet, you will get it
back along with $155 in winnings if the bet
wins. You will lose your original $100 if the
bet is a loss.
Row 2) Oakland must win the game and
Zito must be the starting pitcher.
The Money Line is -170
You can risk $170 to win $100.
Row 3) This is what is called an over/under
or a bet on the total. The combined scores of
both teams must equal a number greater than
8.5 for you to win this wager.
The Money Line is -130
You can risk $130 to win $100.
Row 4) The combined scores of both teams
must equal a number less than 8.5 for you to
win this wager.
The Money Line is +110
You can risk $100 to win $110.
Row 5) This is a spread bet. Atlanta
must lose by less than 1.5 runs or win the game
for you to win this wager.
The Money Line is -120
You can risk $120 to win $110.
Row 6) Oakland must win by more than
1.5 runs for you to win this wager.
The Money Line is +100 (also called EVEN)
You can risk $100 to win $100. |
How To Transfer Money:
Most online bookmakers accept money from www.Neteller.com
After going to Netter's website, sign up and create
an account. Then you can transfer money into and
out of your Neteller account. From there you can
send and receive money quickly from the bookmakers.
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Understanding Arbitrage: |
If you were to bet both
sides of an event at one bookmaker, you would lose one
bet and win the other. The bookmaker would love you
because you would lose a little bit more than you would
win. This is always the case because the potential loss
is always a larger amount than the potential winnings
on a particular game with one bookmaker. The difference
in the amount loss and the amount won is called the
juice, which is where the bookmakers make their money.
When a bookmaker gets too much action on one side of
a bet, they will adjust the line to encourage action
on the other side. This is why different bookmakers
may offer different lines. When you can bet both sides
of an event using two different bookmakers, you can
sometimes find a situation where you stand to make a
profit regardless of which side wins, which is called
an arbitrage.
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Definition of Arbitrage:
The purchase of securities on one market for immediate
resale on another market in order to profit from
a price discrepancy.
Arbitrage can be found in financial
markets when the securities being traded are derivatives.
When a futures contract trader enters the market,
the position is closed out when he takes the opposite
position. A trader may open his position by going
short (selling) a contract and that trader will
be out of the market when he buys the contracts
back that he originally sold. These traders can
sometime find arbitrage amongst themselves. The
same concept applies to sports trading. When Team
A is playing against Team B, you have an open
position when you take Team A. You can then exit
your position by waiting until the end of the
game, or by taking Team B. The amounts bet on
each side would ensure that regardless of what
happens there will be only one possible result.
It will amount to guaranteed profit when you bet
both sides of an arbitrage.
How To
Calculate Arb Value:
Arbitrage value is a way to look at the house(bookmaker's)
hold. If the results of our calculation are 101%,
that means that the house hold is 1% and there
is no arbitrage. When the hold falls below 100%,
then we have an arbitrage situation. To calculate
this figure we must first understand how to convert
our money line to a decimal line.
The following screen shows the money lines in
U.S. Odds format, which is what we have seen
thus far:
Now lets change to EU odds which show the same lines
in the Decimal Format:
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We can see in the top row
that SportsInteraction.com has a money line
of 2 on the Over 11 Boston/St Louis Total.
This means that if you risk $1 then you will
get your original $1 and another $1 in winnings
if you win this bet.
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| BetGameDay.com has the other side of this
bet with a 2.05 line. This means that if you
risk $1 then you will get your $1 and another
$1.05 in winnings if you win this bet. |
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Arbitrage Formula:
1/Decimal Line + 1/Decimal Line
Using the above screenshot:
1/2 + 1/2.05 = 98.8% (round to the tenths)
There is a 1.2% return on this combination.
The result of our formula is less than 100%
which means arbitrage. The lower this number
goes, the better for the arbitrageur. |
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How To Use The Software: |
This software is a tool to analyze different sports
trading combinations. The profits from arbitrage opportunities
are usually fairly small.
A Good Sized Arbitrage:
A reasonable return on a typical arbitrage is around
2% to 4%. Very large arbitrages are best left untouched
because things that look too good to be true, often
are.
Ignore List - Disregard The Irrelevant:
When you click the Options Button, you will see two
lists. On the left there is the Active Lines and on
the right is the Ignore Lines.
Here we move various bookmakers
to the Ignore Lines list and keep only those
bookmakers that we are interested in.
Setting The Arbitrage Alarm:We can set the Arbitrage Alarm to sound when
our arbitrage formula produces results less
then a specified percentage.
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| Enter Lines
Button to Include Your Bookie: |
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This
menu allows you to enter in lines from bookmakers
which are not included with the WinRskFree software.
Simply fill out the fields and press the Enter/Update
This Line button. When you want to modify
a line, simply enter it in again the same way. |
Verifying and betting the arbitrage:
When a suitable arbitrage is found, there are a few
steps which are necessary to take full advantage.
Step 1) Press Stop on the Software. You do not need
the software actively updating lines at this point.
It will intentionally use all of your resources so
that it is quick to update the lines. Now your computer
resources are best dedicated to your efforts in verification.
Step 2) Double Click the cell which displays the bookmaker's
name. On each row, there are two cells which display
the relative bookmaker for that line. By double clicking
there, or on the middle display where bookmakers are
also listed, you will open their website. Then you
must find those lines and verify that they exist.
Step 2) Log into your accounts at both sites and place
the wagers as simultaneously as possible. Remember,
the lines can change at either bookmaker at any time,
so there is an element of risk here.
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How The Software Works: |
| There are plenty of services that will
e-mail you arbitrage after they find it. What makes
the Win Risk Free software different is that our company
never makes contact with your lines or arbitrages. The
lines go directly from the sportsbook to your computer
for analysis. Since they never pass through our servers,
we do not have the chance to verify them. |
How the Software Obtains Lines:
The software downloads the web pages which display
live lines from each bookmaker. It then decodes them
to extract the lines for analysis.
Why A Bad line May Be Displayed:
The logic used by the software to pull lines is not
perfect. It assumes that the HTML format has not changed.
Any of these site owners can change their format at
any time, and some definitely will in the future.
When this happens, the software may not show any lines
from that site, or it may show wild numbers that do
not correctly reflect the bookmaker's lines. When
you see something like this, please report it to us.
We fix it and remotely upgrade your software as soon
as we are aware of the problem. Despite these occasional
problems, you will find that getting your lines directly
from the bookmakers is far superior to any competing
system.
Why The Top Display Flickers Blank:
Occasionally a wager will be listed twice on one bookmaker
with different lines. This is often due to a double-header
in MLB. Despite our best efforts, the variations that
bookmakers use to show double-header games is too
vast to incorporate. Therefor, when we find a game
that is part of a double-header, we remove all lines
relative to that event from the display. This removes
the possibility of the first game being compared to
the second game. The main display is completely cleared
and rebuilt when this happens, which is why it goes
blank for a second.
Why The Software Slows A Computer:
Building the content for the main display involves
cross querying many lines and will use quite a bit
of your computer resources for a second, possibly
causing your computer to momentarily slow. Sometimes
the techniques used by the software to pull lines
require momentary focus, which means that if you are
typing in another application, you may lose focus
and have to click that application again to resume
typing. If this is a problem, move all PINCL lines
to the ignore list and this should stop happening.
When you find an arbitrage, push the stop button to
pause the processing. This will relieve resources
for you to verify and place your wagers.
Strategies Using The Software:
In addition to arbitrage wagering, there are other
ways to use this software. The middle display shows
all available lines on each side of any event.
The Speculator Strategy) The
middle display will always reflect the row that is
selected from the top display. By clicking different
combinations, you can see how the arbitrage value
is affected. This display shows which bookmaker is
most off from the average lines. When part of the
arbitrage is caused by a bookmaker who has a stray
line (stray from all of the other bookmakers), then
you can just bet that side. This likely means that
bet has an edge. Betting both sides will give you
arbitrage, but only betting the best side can be a
powerful strategy for speculators.
The Bonus Hunter Strategy) Many
bookmakers offer bonuses on deposits. Sometimes you
must wager a certain amount before you can withdraw
that bonus money, but they all let you bet it immediately.
With a break-even arbitrage, you can lose that bonus
money and win it in a non-bonus bookmaker which will
allow you to withdraw all funds immediately. Or you
can just bet break-even or better arbs until you have
completed your action requirements and then withdraw
the bonus.
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Win
Risk Free Home
| Download
Now| View
Available Odd & Prices
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